Sarasota News Leader

11/29/2013

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THE ATLANTIC SEASON PROVES EXTRAORDINARILY UNEVENTFUL WHILE THE WESTERN PACIFIC SEES TERRIBLE DESTRUCTION By Stan Zimmerman City Editor Editor's note: City Editor Stan Zimmerman landfall in the U.S. The usual odds are 52 has provided his annual rundown on the percent. hurricane season, starting with the earliest And they predict chances of 47 and 48 perforecast, issued back in the spring. cent, respectively, that one will land on the 27 March 2013: The first predictions are Gulf Coast and one on the Florida peninsula. pending. Colorado State University gurus William M. Gray and Philip J. Klotzbach say, A warmer Atlantic and the lack of an El NiƱo "I expect we're going to come out with a busy are the reasons. forecast for this year." 10 April: Gray and Klotzbach predict 18 named storms, with nine of them hurricanes and four, major storms. They offer a 72 percent chance that a major hurricane will make Photo courtesy Stock.xchng 23 May: The Climate Prediction Center offers a 70 percent chance of 13 to 20 named storms this year, of which seven to 11 could become hurricanes. Of those, three to six could be major hurricanes (Categories 3, 4 or 5).

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