Sarasota News Leader

11/29/2013

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Sarasota News Leader November 29, 2013 Page 67 22 Oct., 9 a.m.: Its name is Lorenzo, a barebones tropical storm with 40 mph winds and a central pressure of 29.77 inches. It is in the mid-Atlantic and trending north and east away from everything. Nothing is in its favor; sea surface temps are decreasing and wind shear is expected to blow the storm apart in This is going to be a crow-eating year for the four or fewer days. long-range predictors. The science of meteo rology is complex beyond imagination. What coulda-shoulda been a gangbuster year for 24 Oct., 9 p.m.: Lorenzo is history, off the hurricanes was instead just a bust. One so far record books. As the cops say, "Gone on arrival." has formed — just one. weather formed off the coast of Africa in the usual place. Soon it went "orange" for more intensity and then "red" for greater certainty of formation, as the NHC gauged its danger. But then it went back to "orange" and then "yellow." Now it is marked as "disorganized showers." Ditto Karen? Imagine sitting in your ivory tower and predicting a hurricane season with just one 7 Nov., 5 p.m.: For this news flash, we sweep hurricane. Your grant funders would laugh you from the not-so-stormy Atlantic to the you out of the park. But so far, that is what not-so-pacific western Pacific Ocean. The we have seen. And the clock is ticking down. fourth-strongest storm in recorded history is now hammering the eastern archipelagos of A graphic shows Typhoon Haiyan as it strikes the Philippines. Image courtesy Colorado State University

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