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Sarasota News Leader November 29, 2013 Page 57 The normal run would be 12 named storms, with six of them hurricanes and three major storms. The Climate Prediction Center is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The National Hurricane Center says only that the band has a 20 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. Lightbown is predicting heavy rain — 10 inches — as the band crosses the Florida "finish line" this coming weekend. And there The center notes that an El Niño is not are two tropical waves already on the African expected to develop (and thus suppress hurri- railroad. The season is starting. cane development), but tropical Atlantic and Caribbean temperatures are above average, and there is a strong West African monsoon 3 June (Monday): Our little friend is now up (that gets the little buggers going) — all very to a 30 percent-er; motion is generally northmuch in synch with the Gray and Klotzbach ward. Meanwhile, it is soaking the Yucatan, forecast six weeks earlier. west and central Cuba and Orlando south to the Keys. 2 June (Sunday): Well it is Day Two of the official hurricane season and already there is a heads up. There is a band of disturbed weather over the Yucatan expected to pull out into the Gulf of Mexico and head east. Then it will have about 48 hours to get developed before coming ashore between Tampa and Cedar Key, says Rob Lightbown with Crown Weather Services. This is a good warm-up, I hope, to get folks aware it is now Hurricane Season. 5 June (Wednesday), 9 a.m.: Our friend is now up to a 50 percent chance of becoming the first named storm of the year, and it is expected to bring 3 to 5 inches of rain. A small craft advisory is posted for offshore waters The National Hurricane Center advisory shows the expected path of Tropical Storm Andrea. Image courtesy NHC