Sarasota News Leader

11/29/2013

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Sarasota News Leader November 29, 2013 Page 62 NOAA gives it a 60 percent chance of becom- 11 a.m.: Yup, now we have Tropical Storm Dorian with a track a little north of TS ing a tropical, named entity. Chantal's. It is expected to remain a tropical And if that is not enough, our sailboat stalled storm at least through Saturday. in mid-channel when we were coming in this morning, so we had to do the "emergency dance" to get the boat tied off in a prudent 27 July, 11 a.m.: Dorian is still with us, and it manner. And if that still was not enough, we is still a tropical storm. Winds are 40 mph and came home to find the air conditioning not pressure is 29.85. It has been through a rough patch but it is now expected to skirt the northworking. Call it a lovely day so far. ern shores of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, though as a tropical depression. No watches or warnings have been issued. 8 July (Monday), 6 p.m.: The storm is called 11 p.m.: Dorian is down to a tropical wave "Chantal," a charming name for a piece of at this hour: no cone; no forecast track; a weather not predicted to get to hurricane weather nada. Pressure is 29.85, a regular intensity. It has a classic track, though. low pressure system. Maximum winds are 40 mph. It looks like it will be "Adios, Dorian." So by this weekend, Chantal should be exert ing some influence on Florida's weather. We are just on the cusp of "the cone." My wife 30 July, 5 p.m.: The remains of Dorian, basiand I will not be here, though. We will be driv- cally a tropical wave, are north of Hispaniola, ing back to Washington, D.C., from Newport, kicking up a few thunderstorms. NHC gives a RI, following our son's commissioning as an "zero percent" chance of its strengthening in the next 48 hours. ensign in the United States Navy. 24 July (Wednesday) 9 a.m.: I do not think it was the remains of Chantal, but the drive back to D.C. from Rhode Island was a watery hell for about four hours. Anyway, we have the first "pipeline" storm of the year forming west of Africa; no name yet, just "Tropical Depression Four." The NHC says it is expected to become a tropical storm later today. Already, it has 30 knot winds and a central pressure of 29.77. The forecast track puts it in the mid-Atlantic by the weekend. It has a long way to go over damn warm water. 2 Aug., 11 a.m.: Dorian just will not give up. This is the first time in 30 years the NHC has changed how it handles a particular type of "tropical weather outlook" forecast. It formerly was a three-day forecast, but starting yesterday and in use today, it is a five-day deal. And our luck puts us right in the crosshairs. 3 Aug., 10 a.m.: Damn Dorian has upgraded himself back to a "tropical depression" with 35 mph winds and a central pressure of 29.91. Never a real impressive sort, Doran does get points for persistence.

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